Early NFL lines often mislead, like when a team opens at -3 and drifts to -4.5...

https://wiki-net.win/index.php/How_Do_Season_Win_Totals_Move_from_May_to_September%3F

Early NFL lines often mislead, like when a team opens at -3 and drifts to -4.5 by game time. Jumping in too soon means risking worse odds and less value